THE CLOCKS HAvE gONE bACK, IT’S NOW DARK AT 5pm and no more summer sports.
What have we left to brighten up our winter evenings? Well there’s boxing for one. And not just any old boxing match, but heavyweight, world championship, belts on the line, and this December (and printed here because of deadlines and I want you all to have the opportunity of backing my advice) on December 1st is the heavyweight battle in America of Deontay Wilder and the resurgent Tyson Fury. With the winner likely to meet AJ in a unification match-up, everything is up for grabs.
Now you might hate his views and you might hate his behaviour but one thing is certain, Tyson Fury is box office. Remember, Fury defeated Klitchco in his own backyard of Germany and at a time when he was still at his pomp, not on one last pay day against Joshua. And even then he gave Joshua a huge fright. So Fury can not only talk the talk but walk the walk and good judges that I respect over the months have consistently told me that the best heavyweight on the planet is Fury.
It is slightly surprising that in only his third comeback fight since his problems with drugs, weight and general bad-boy reputation that he is surprisingly short in the outright market at a shade over 6/4. I think this is a reflection on the quality of the opposition who nevertheless should not be underestimated as every layer in town believes Joshua is the rightful number one. I disagree, I believe Wilder would beat Joshua if they fought, but think the 6/4 about Tyson Fury just has to be taken. Away from boxing and coming up on Tuesday morning, November 6th at about 4am UK time is the race that stops a nation – The Melbourne Cup in Australia. Still no British trained trainers and runners have won the cup but several, most notably Luca Cumani, who has been agonisingly close in the last decade have managed to come away with the ultimate prize.
The Melbourne Cup is now seen from the UK as a major prize whereas before it was always an add-on to the flat season and partly due to this, and partly due to a higher quality of horse, I thinkthis year the Melbourne Cup is up for total european domination. My mine fancy though is yet again with the Irish and LATRObE who is currently trading at 14/1, trained by the legendary Aiden O’Brien’s soon to be legendary talented son, Joseph O’Brien. He is clearly gifted and in only his third season of training managed to secure the Group One Irish Derby with Latrobe and I think he will have too much class for the opposition.
Away from more immediate targets, most observers were blown away with the performance of Too Darn Hot in the Dewhurst (the most important two-year-old race of the season last month. Yes he was impressive but the scribes are talking about a new Frankel, which he clearly isn’t. However, I have been very impressed with the emergence of QuORTO in the Godolphin blue and I think the 8/1 about next year’s 2000 Guineas has to be taken now. THIS WEEKEND WILL COINCIDE WITH the fourth week of the regular season signifying a quarter of the 16 matches played.
But regular readers of this column will have noticed my Facebook entry on the eve of this season’s action, so I don’t want anyone to feel I’m getting on the bandwagon as I fancy strongly the LA RAmS to be victorious in Atlanta next February. The regular season is all about qualifying for the knockouts and winning your division ensuring a better passage with the No 1 and No 2 seedings… Well I hope you took my advice as the above excerpt from October’s issue verifying that prior to a ball being kicked in the NFL, I strongly fancied the LA Rams to win the Vince Lombardi Trophy. Pre-season (and when I informed you) the Rams were 11/1, now they are trading at a shade over 3/1. Yes, there is still over half of the season to run but at this time they are looking a magnificient bet. Until next month when we will be looking at early Cheltenham bets good punting…